(OPINION) MS – How close can Russia and Ukraine come to war without actually going over the precipice? Over the weekend, more forces on both sides continued to pour into the conflict zone.
And on the line of separation in eastern Ukraine, there are regular reports of gunfire and shelling. At this point, there are no negotiations on the horizon, and one false move could easily spark an all-out war. In fact, a Kremlin spokesperson is warning that we could soon see “full-scale combat operations”… Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov on Thursday said the situation in eastern Ukraine was ‘very unstable’ and warned it risked leading to ‘full-scale combat operations.’
As Kiev warned it could be ‘provoked’ by Russia’s aggression, several Western nations have voiced fears that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s move could trigger an all-out war, which could drag Nato allies, including Britain, into the conflict. By rushing so many forces to the conflict zone, the Russians have prepared themselves to be ready for any scenario that may unfold.
According to one British news source, Russia now has “close to 100,000 troops” in the region… The Russia-Ukraine crisis could explode into an all-out war within days after Moscow amassed close to 100,000 troops at the flashpoint border, it was feared last night. Senior Ukraine military sources fear Moscow’s war-planners may have wrong-footed Kiev by being far more battle-ready for a major land and sea attack than previously suspected.
If a full-blown war does break out, the Ukrainian military will be no match for the Russian military. The Ukrainians would literally beg NATO for help, and Joe Biden has already promised “unwavering support” for the regime in Kiev. Since the end of the Cold War, the U.S. and Russia have never been closer to war than they are right now, and that is why this crisis is far more important than most Americans realize.
Within the last 24 hours, there has been quite a bit more activity along the line of separation. The following is an English translation of a report that was posted on the official website of the Ukrainian military… During the past 24 hours, on April 10, in the area of the Joint Forces Operation, the armed forces of the Russian Federation violated the ceasefire 10 times, including 9 shellings of Ukrainian defenders and 1 flight of an enemy UAV crossing the line of demarcation.
In particular, in the area of responsibility of the operational and tactical group “East”, the Russian occupation forces fired at our positions near the village of PYSCHEVYK with 82 mm mortars, anti-tank, and hand-held anti-tank grenade launchers prohibited by the Minsk agreements. In the suburbs of the villages of PISKY and SHYROKYNE, the enemy opened fire with small arms, and near AVDIYIVKA and KAMYANKA – with grenade launchers of various systems.
In the area of responsibility of the operational and tactical group “North”, near the village of MAYORSKE, armed formations of the Russian Federation fired at the positions of Ukrainian defenders with hand-held anti-tank and grenade launchers. Near the village of ZOLOTE-3, the enemy opened fire with automatic machine grenade launchers, large-caliber machine guns, and small arms.
Of course, the Ukrainians don’t always disclose when they fire upon forces on the other side, and that has been happening on numerous occasions as well. This sort of low-level fighting is only a concern because it could potentially lead to a much larger conflict.And in preparation for such a conflict, the Russians have been moving some very serious hardware into the region. For example, it is being reported that the Russians have moved at least six “city destroyers” into the conflict zone…
At least six 2S4 Tyulpan self-propelled mortars – capable of firing warheads 12 miles – were filmed on flatbed trains. Dubbed the ‘city destroyer’, the weapon’s devastating power has demolished strongholds from Chechnya to Afghanistan. Even more importantly, we are being told that the Russians have been deploying Iskander missile systems close to Ukraine…
Open-source intelligence specialist at Janes Thomas Bullock identified Russian Iskander missile systems that have moved or are moving to the Ukrainian area of operations since late March through open-source intelligence. FULL REPORT