(OPINION) In a surprising twist to the latest U.S. trade policy under President Donald Trump, a new round of sweeping tariffs has been unveiled, targeting various nations but notably excluding Russia while imposing a 17% tariff on Israel.
This development has sparked widespread speculation and analysis across multiple news outlets, as analysts and policymakers attempt to unpack the motivations behind these decisions.
Drawing from a variety of reports, this article explores the potential reasons for Russia’s omission and Israel’s unexpected inclusion in the tariff list as of April 3, 2025.
One prevailing theory for Russia’s absence from the tariff list centers on the existing web of U.S. sanctions already in place against the nation.
Reports from major news sources suggest that the Biden-era sanctions, intensified following Russia’s ongoing geopolitical maneuvers, have rendered additional tariffs redundant.
A prominent financial news outlet noted that Russia’s trade with the U.S. has already been heavily curtailed, with energy exports and other key sectors facing stringent restrictions.
Adding tariffs on top of these measures might be seen as unnecessary piling-on, especially when trade volumes are already at historic lows.
Moreover, some analysts speculate that Trump’s administration may be holding Russia’s tariff exclusion as a bargaining chip.
A political commentary piece from a well-known Washington-based publication posited that this could signal an intent to negotiate on other fronts, such as arms control or regional influence, rather than further isolating Moscow economically at this juncture.
The omission has raised eyebrows, given Trump’s historically tough rhetoric on adversarial nations, but it aligns with a pragmatic approach to avoid overcomplicating an already tense bilateral relationship.
In contrast, Israel’s inclusion on the tariff list at a 17% rate has caught many by surprise, particularly given the longstanding U.S.-Israel Free Trade Agreement (FTA) established in 1985.
News reports from trade-focused journals indicate that this move may stem from efforts to address persistent trade imbalances. Despite the FTA, which eliminated most tariffs between the two nations, the U.S. has run a trade deficit with Israel in recent years, driven by high-tech imports and pharmaceuticals.
A business news outlet highlighted that the Trump administration might be using the tariff as a lever to renegotiate terms or pressure Israel into concessions on market access for American goods.
The decision has not been without controversy. A leading international affairs publication reported that some U.S. lawmakers and pro-Israel advocacy groups have expressed dismay, arguing that the tariff undermines a key ally in a volatile region.
However, others see it as a broader signal of Trump’s “America First” policy recalibrating even the closest partnerships.
Posts found on X echo this sentiment, with users questioning why an ally like Israel faces penalties while adversarial nations appear to dodge the tariff bullet—a point of contention that underscores the complexity of this policy shift.
Experts cited across various news platforms suggest that these tariff decisions reflect a mix of economic strategy and political messaging.
A trade economist interviewed by a major broadcast network emphasized that Russia’s omission likely avoids duplicating existing punitive measures, while Israel’s tariff could be a test case for reasserting U.S. leverage over allied nations with favorable trade deals.
Meanwhile, a foreign policy analyst from a conservative-leaning outlet argued that the 17% rate on Israel might also serve as a domestic political statement, appealing to voters wary of perceived inequities in international trade relationships.
The timing of this policy, announced in early 2025, also coincides with broader economic pressures, including inflation concerns and supply chain adjustments, as noted in a recent economic news roundup. This context may explain the administration’s willingness to take bold steps, even if they risk diplomatic friction.