So what would a war between the United States and China look like? A new report coming out reveals how this terrifying scenario would result in severe losses on both sides, but—today at least—Beijing would bear the brunt of the casualties. But the tides could turn quickly in less than ten years, as China’s anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) capabilities continue to improve—the balance of losses would shift more towards Beijing’s favor by 2025.
Excerpt From The National Interest:
Nonetheless, China would still suffer more losses than Washington even at that stage—according to a new report from the RAND Corporation. Victory for either side might prove to be elusive as the conflict could degenerate into inconclusive bloodletting. “As its military advantage declines, the United States will be less confident that a war with China will conform to its plans,” reads the new report by David C. Gompert, Astrid Cevallos and Cristina L. Garafola. “China’s improved military capabilities, particularly for anti-access and area denial (A2AD), mean that the United States cannot count on gaining operational control, destroying China’s defenses, and achieving decisive victory if a war occurred.”