A tornado outbreak is possible Tuesday into Wednesday as severe thunderstorms track across the South. The instigator for this potential outbreak is an area of low pressure that will move from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes while intensifying significantly.
The TOR:CON for Tuesday and Tuesday night has been raised to 6 out of 10 for parts of southern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama and the western Florida panhandle, according to Dr. Greg Forbes of The Weather Channel. This means there is a 60 percent chance of a tornado within 50 miles of any location in the specified areas. TOR:CON values as high as 5 out of 10 are posted for Wednesday in eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia.
In addition, NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a moderate risk for parts of the Gulf Coast Tuesday and says that a couple of strong tornadoes (EF2 or higher rating) are possible. A moderate risk is the second highest of five categories on SPC’s severe thunderstorm forecasts. READ MORE