Typhoon Noul is churning the waters of the West Pacific as it gathers strength, on course to potentially make landfall in Luzon, the most populated island of the Philippines, this weekend. The storm is the equivalent of a Category 3 hurricane as of Friday at 3 p.m. ET, and is forecast to intensify at least to a Category 4 before weakening some and crossing the northern part of Luzon on May 10. The storm is known as Cyclone Dodong in the Philippines, where it is given a local storm name from the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administratio (PAGASA).

If this track and intensity forecast hold (which is far from guaranteed), the storm will likely miss making a direct hit on the capital city of Manila, which would be good news for the low-lying city that is prone to flooding from even weak tropical cyclones. MORE