Urban unrest expert Dr. Max Herman says that the United States is on the “cusp” of a wave of domestic disorder and that the country will see more race riots. Herman, Assistant Professor of Sociology at New Jersey City University, told the New Republic’s Joel Gillin that the economic downturn, in addition to incidents of police brutality, have provided fertile conditions for civil unrest. He sees the re-emergence of a 60’s-style “protest ideology” amongst black communities which will lead to more disorder. “It’s very clear from studying history that these things tend to run in cycles,” said Herman, adding, “I think we are at the cusp of another cycle.”

Herman’s verdict correlates with a NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released earlier this month which found that a whopping 96 per cent of Americans said they expected to see more racially-driven unrest this summer. Dan Braha, a professor at the University of Massachusetts, also said that such riots are foreseeable based on social media trends, arguing that a “prediction regarding ‘when’ and ‘where’ becomes more precise on short time scales.”

The article points to numerous different studies which suggest that the numerical size of an area’s black population is a key determining factor as to where riots will take place, taking precedence over other factors such as income differences, the unemployment of blacks compared to whites, and the responsiveness of the political system towards blacks. MORE